Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang at UOB Group suggest GBP/USD is now likely to navigate within the 1.2395/1.2565 range in the next few weeks.
24-hour view: “We highlighted yesterday that ‘the bias for GBP is tilted to the downside but it is unlikely to break the strong support at 1.2440’. GBP weakened more than expected as it broke slightly below 1.2440 (low of 1.2436) before rebounding. While there is no significant increase in downward momentum, GBP could dip to 1.2425 before a more sustained rebound is likely. Resistance is at 1.2500, followed by 1.2525.”
Next 1-3 weeks: “Yesterday (02 May, spot at 1.2495), we highlighted that for GBP to strengthen further, it must not fall below 1.2440. In NY trade, GBP dropped to 1.2436 before rebounding. The breach of the ‘strong support’ level at 1.2440 indicates that GBP is unlikely to strengthen further. For the time being, GBP is more likely to trade in a 1.2395/1.2565 range.”